Though mathematically, it is still possible for Pakistan to make it to the semi-finals at the 2025 Champions Trophy, yet practically impossible to qualify for the semifinals of the Champions Trophy 2025 after their defeat to India by six wickets. The turning of fate now depends on various external factors such as match results and net run rate calculations.
The table showing the pakistan’s mathematical possibilities for reaching semi finals in Champions Trophy 2025.
| Requirement | Details |
| 1. Bangladesh must defeat New Zealand | Bangladesh must beat New Zealand on Feb 24 in Rawalpindi. |
| 2. Pakistan must beat Bangladesh | Pakistan must win against Bangladesh on Feb 27 in Rawalpindi by a significant margin. |
| 3. India must defeat New Zealand | India must win against New Zealand on March 2 at the Dubai International Cricket Stadium. |
| 4. New Zealand’s losses | New Zealand should lose both their remaining matches by substantial margins. |
| 5. No washouts | Any washout would eliminate Pakistan from the tournament. |
Bangladesh against New Zealand shock win & Pakistan beat Bangladesh by massive margin. Pakistan hoped for engine favours to India and New Zealand. If New Zealand lose both games and Pakistan win by a chance, they still have hope of qualifying via run rate.
The semi-finals are now a mathematical nightmare for Pakistan featuring several lucky scalps and massive victories from other teams on their route to getting out of the group of six. They require a razor edge dependency on solid results going their way, qualification still possible but subtle.
